Browsing by Author "Irvan, M."

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    DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN RATARATA HARGA BERAS INDONESIA TAHUN 2022
    (Elfitra, 2022-10) Irvan, M.; Efendi, Rustam
    This study discusses the forecasting of the average price of rice at the level of trade in Indonesia, where this study uses time series analysis. The method used in this research is Holt's Double Exponential Smoothing. The results of calculations using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) accuracy test equipment, determined that the Double Exponential Smoothing Holt method has a relatively small forecasting error with an RMSE value of 118.963 and a MAPE value of 0.86% with MAPE value criteria < 10%. This shows that the accuracy of MAPE is in the very good category.