PENERAPAN FORECASTING TERHADAP JUMLAH PENGUNJUNG KLINIK PRATAMA TIGA PERMATA MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL
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Date
2020-10
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Abstract
Predicting clinic visitors within one year is an important role so that clinic owners can
find out the number of visitors who will seek treatment at the clinic. From this problem,
it seems that the Pratama Tiga Permata clinic needs a system that can provide
information about predictions of visitors to the clinic. This journal explains the process
of making "The application of forecasting on the number of visitors to the Pratama Tiga
Permata clinic using the double exponential smoothing method. In the calculation
phase, two stages are carried out, namely the calculation and testing phase, as well as
the manual calculation results and system testing to produce the same output, so that the
resulting prediction is to determine the prediction of the number of visitors in the
following year, namely 2019. The number of predictions uses the alpha value 0.1
General patient is 1002 by measuring the error rate using MAD 8.8, MSE 118, and
MAPE 0.87%
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Keywords
System, Double Exponential Smoothing Method, Visitor prediction, Clinic